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Blue Heron PAIN INDEXES

Each of the three Blue Heron PAIN INDEXES™ measures the performance gap between different investment strategies and benchmarks within a given broad style of management (i.e. Value, Core, and Growth).   It is an indicator of the "pain" an investment manager might feel as he/she adheres to the disciplines associated with her particular approach to management.   The greater the PAIN INDEX™, the more likely a given manager's performance will deviate from others who are within the same broad style but pursue a different strategy.


An understanding of strategy performance and their cycles is especially important when the spread between strategies within a broad style is large.   When spreads are large, the outperforming managers in a broad style may be credited with too much skill, and the lagging managers may be unduly penalized, when the performance differentials are really a difference in how the market currently rewards different investment strategies. For example, in risk averse markets, Dividend Yield managers in the Value style tend to be more amply rewarded than say, Discounted Value managers, who are more willing to buy non-dividend paying stocks. In a market where investors are less risk averse, Discounted Value managers may have the upper hand within the value style.

 

The PAIN INDEX™ measures the spread between the high and low performing SPI indicator and/or benchmark over various time periods. We include the relevant style index in the spread calculation because they have their own distinct characteristics, which can be thought of as a strategy (even though they are intended to be passive benchmarks). Some are also quite concentrated in market cap or sector exposure relative to active managers, causing substantial short-term performance differentials, depending on market trends.

Blue Heron PAIN INDEX™

Value

Core

Growth

January 2007 PAIN INDEX™ *

135 bps

157 bps

71bps

    Index vs. historical norms**

3rd decile

4th decile

1st decile

Prior Months

bps

decile

bps

decile

bps

decile

December 2006 PAIN INDEX™ *
383
9th
345
8th
226
5th
November 2006 PAIN INDEX™ *
234
7th
194
5th
198
5th
October 2006 PAIN INDEX™ *
118
2nd
134
3rd
130
2nd
September 2006 PAIN INDEX™ *
37
1st
140
3rd
180
4th
August 2006 PAIN INDEX™ *
109
2nd
92
1st
158
3rd
July 2006 PAIN INDEX™ *
347
9th
358
8th
325
7th
June 2006 PAIN INDEX™ *
72
1st
106
2nd
54
1st
May 2006 PAIN INDEX™ *
36
1st
156
4th
317
7th
April 2006 PAIN INDEX™ *
167
4th
107
2nd
96
2nd
March 2006 PAIN INDEX™ *
143.
4th
142
3rd
189
5th
February 2006 PAIN INDEX™ *
93
2nd
108
2nd
122
2nd
January 2006 PAIN INDEX™ *
167
4th
355
8th
483
9th
December 2005 PAIN INDEX™ *
246
7th
131
3rd
244
5th
November 2005 PAIN INDEX™ *
75
1st
130
3rd
122
2nd
October 2005 PAIN INDEX™ *
250
7th
138
3rd
265
6th
September 2005 PAIN INDEX™ *
120
2nd
156
4th
139
3rd
August 2005 PAIN INDEX™ *
41
1st
56
1st
55
1st
July 2005 PAIN INDEX™ *
196
5th
216
6th
102
2nd
June 2005 PAIN INDEX™ *
240
7th
225
6th
181
4th
May 2005 PAIN INDEX™ *
211
6th
340
8th
189
5th
April 2005 PAIN INDEX™ *
179
5th
265
7th
300
6th
March 2005 PAIN INDEX™ *
161
4th
48
1st
33
1st
February 2005 PAIN INDEX™ *
98
2nd
190
5th
79
1st
January 2005 PAIN INDEX™ *
38
1st
99
2nd
91
1st
December 2004 PAIN INDEX™ *
419
10th
450
9th
57
1st
November 2004 PAIN INDEX™ *
212
6th
242
6th
231
5th
October 2004 PAIN INDEX™ *
89
1st
149
4th
247
6th
September 2004 PAIN INDEX™ *
287
8th
271
7th
375
7th
August 2004 PAIN INDEX™ *
72
1st
141
3rd
168
4th
July 2004 PAIN INDEX™ *
230
7th
303
8th
246
6th
June 2004 PAIN INDEX™ *
131
3rd
162
4th
141
3rd
May 2004 PAIN INDEX™ *
72
1st
177
4th
71
1st
April 2004 PAIN INDEX™ *
134
3rd
339
8th
271
6th
March 2004 PAIN INDEX™ *
237
7th
172
4th
153
3rd
February 2004 PAIN INDEX™ *
39
1st
56
1st
65
1st
January 2004 PAIN INDEX™
137
3rd
111
2nd
58
1st
December 2003 PAIN INDEX™
287
8th
336
8th
320
7th
November 2003 PAIN INDEX™

142

4th

194

5th

155

3rd

October 2003 PAIN INDEX™

157

4th

270

7th

337

7th

September 2003 PAIN INDEX™

145

4th

121

3rd

305

6th

August 2003 PAIN INDEX™

183

5th

258

7th

347

7th

*    Strategy return spread (basis points) within style

**   10th decile=highest pain

                                                                                                                  

Each PAIN INDEX™ is based on the following clusters of SPI Indicators and benchmarks. 

Please select the US EQUITY SPI INDICATOR DESCRIPTIONS for definitions of these indicators.


BH-SPI VALUE PAIN INDEX
• BH-SPI Value - Contrarian
• BH-SPI Value - Dividend Yield
• BH-SPI Value - Discounted Value
• BH-SPI Value - Midcap
• BH-SPI Russell 1000 Value Index

BH-SPI CORE PAIN INDEX
• BH-SPI Core - Value
• BH-SPI Core - Neutral
• BH-SPI Core - Growth-at-a-Reasonable-Price
• BH-SPI Core - Growth
• BH-SPI Core - Midcap
• BH-SPI Russell 1000 Index

BH-SPI GROWTH PAIN INDEX
• BH-SPI Growth - Consistent Growth
• BH-SPI Growth - Earnings Momentum
• BH-SPI Growth - Midcap
• BH-SPI Russell 1000 Growth Index

 

Blue Heron PAIN INDEX™ Levels for Value, Core, and Growth

 

The three charts below display the SPI Indicators for each broad style in excess return space and illustrate the variability between strategies in short term performance.

 


 


 

 


 

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